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i think Heavy Rain has set a bar high.. With 1 million in 5 weeks. HR is definitely going on to sell 2m+, as its going to get a Move support also at the end of the year.. So this definitely is not going to be an easy task..
But it has potential if all the issues of beta are resolved and Move support is added and is provided with a solid marketing n get good words of mouth.. But the good thing is that it is coming out at relatively a less bz release schedule for PS3.. so it wont be having much competition for the PS3 owner's money.. so if it gets a good start n good word of mouth than it definitely has a bigger audience out there to be interested in..