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TheSource said:

It has a shot at passing 5m rather easily honestly. Even with a smaller base in Japan, NSMB Wii is completely pulverizing the pace of NSMB DS - it could end up with a nearly 40% attach rate in Japan...and Wii is getting to at least 12m no matter what.

~3.6m/10.1m is really good considering the sw sales of NSMB Wii still are larger than Wii sales in Japan.

Speaking of longer term projections, and idea where Friend Collection could end up?  How much had Animal Crossing DS sold at this point?