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Personally I think the balance board beats all in sales.
But as far as the other choices, the Vitality Sensor is just a huge question mark at this point, but never underestimate Nintendo's genius.
Between Move and Natal it really is going to come down to software, which we know very little about one and nothing regarding the other at this point. The Move, IMO, will work better for games, but Natal has the advantages of being used for more apps than just games and the fact that it will be seen by the general public as something that's new and different.
However most would agree that the Move will work well and have lots of cross-platform development with Wii games, where as we're all waiting to see if Natal can indeed deliver.