I agree with you about that: I don't think he's a troll at all but I agree with people saying that he just has a lot of difficulties to predict the market since it has drastically changed with the DS and Wii. He and other analysts just seem unable to understand casual gamers just like third parties. They think in terms of features, graphics and better technologies and not in terms of games.
When Pachter says that the VS won't be a big deal but Natal will that's just stupid in my opinion because we just don't know the games that will be launched with these applications and that's what matters. Of course because for them the games are not important just the technology is and the technologies of natal and of the PS Move look stunning. But the fact is that the technology is not important if there aren't fun and unique games that take advantage of it. That's what those guys definitly don't understand even if the man that knows better than anyone else how to succeed in this area, Iwata, keep pretending that's what is important.
Hopefully for them MS and Sony know that otherwise my prediction is that they certainly won't succeed. On the other hand Iwata knows that very well, that's a big advantage.
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