I think you got a pretty good chance of it happening. PS3 will probably keep outselling the 360 on a weekly basis until MS either pricecuts or releases Natal or both. But then again, Sony isn't going to just let them take back the ground they made up these last 6 months. I see them doing a small pricecut after MS does.
Plus, in my opinion, Move has a little bit better chance of catching on then Natal. I see Natal coming out and not being able to live up to the incredible hype MS has put out surrounding it. Plus, the fact that most 360 gamers aren't going to want to pay ~ $100 for the ability to play casual games. In response to this, I think MS will try to put out some type of controller for the device, but it will be too little too late. Not that I think Move will be a huge success. Just that it has a better chance, as it's much easier to bring in the core gamer, too.
