Financial Times Germany: Wii at 30.2% worldwide market share

[Sullla]

While I'm not prepared to go as far as RolStoppable, it's definitely not crazy to think that the Wii has a chance of reaching 50% or more of the marketplace. The system managed to outsell 360 + PS3 combined for quite a few weeks this past year. Because I'm a loser with too much time on my hands on a Sunday morning, here's the full list according to VGChartz data:

Sep. 08: Wii 252k, 360 (139k) + PS3 (97k) = 236k
Sep. 01: Wii 282k, 360 (152k) + PS3 (98k) = 250k
Aug. 25: Wii 258k, 360 (142k) + PS3 (91k) = 233k
Aug. 18: Wii 286k, 360 (112k) + PS3 (100k) = 212k
Aug. 11: Wii 270k, 360 (103k) + PS3 (98k) = 201k
Aug. 04: Wii 260k, 360 (68k) + PS3 (105k) = 173k
July 28: Wii 282k, 360 (70k) + PS3 (112k) = 182k
July 21: Wii 284k, 360 (66k) + PS3 (87k) = 153k
July 14: Wii 299k, 360 (70k) + PS3 (92k) = 142k
July 07: Wii 255k, 360 (73k) + PS3 (62k) = 135k

That's 10 straight weeks of the Wii outselling 360 + PS3 combined.

June 30: Wii 272k, 360 (83k) + PS3 (60k) = 143k
June 23: Wii 272k, 360 (80k) + PS3 (57k) = 137k
June 16: Wii 250k, 360 (88k) + PS3 (59k) = 147k
June 9: Wii 245k, 360 (85k) + PS3 (59k) = 144k
June 2: Wii 244k, 360 (69k) + PS3 (63k) = 132k
May 26: Wii 235k, 360 (68k) + PS3 (64k) = 132k
May 19: Wii 226k, 360 (79k) + PS3 (64k) = 143k
May 12: Wii 240k, 360 (89k) + PS3 (69k) = 158k
May 05: Wii 288k, 360 (96k) + PS3 (80k) = 176k
Apr. 28: Wii 295k, 360 (97k) + PS3 (77k) = 174k

Another 10 weeks in a row, as the Wii dominates the slow months of the year.

Apr. 21: Wii 232k, 360 (74k) + PS3 (82k) = 156k
Apr. 14: Wii 204k, 360 (77k) + PS3 (95k) = 172k

We have several weeks in March and early April where the PS3's European launch pushes the 360 + PS3 combo above Wii weekly sales. But before that launch, Wii dominance reigned:

Mar. 17: Wii 188k, 360 (90k) + PS3 (58k) = 148k
Mar. 10: Wii 176k, 360 (90k) + PS3 (78k) = 168k
Mar. 03: Wii 195k, 360 (98k) + PS3 (80k) = 178k
Feb. 24: Wii 228k, 360 (111k) + PS3 (49k) = 160k
Feb. 17: Wii 212k, 360 (116k) + PS3 (52k) = 168k
Feb. 10: Wii 216k, 360 (109k) + PS3 (66k) = 175k
Feb. 03: Wii 224k, 360 (109k) + PS3 (69k) = 178k
Jan. 27: Wii 244k, 360 (111k) + PS3 (73k) = 184k
Jan. 20: Wii 239k, 360 (114k) + PS3 (78k) = 192k
Jan. 13: Wii 246k, 360 (121k) + PS3 (88k) = 209k
Jan. 06: Wii 299k, 360 (144k) + PS3 (135k) = 279k

So there you go. By my count, the Wii has actually outsold 360 + PS3 combined on 33 different weeks this year. That's well above half the weeks this year! It's only during the holiday rush, when more people are willing to spend on a big purchase, that we've seen the Wii NOT outselling the other two combined. And if Microsoft and Sony hadn't cut their prices in the Fall, things might look even more skewed. The Wii is still sold out in many markets, after all.

If the Wii sells at the same rate in 2008 that it did in 2007 (and I don't see why it wouldn't), it will finish next year close to or above 50% market share.