I don't think either the Natal or 360 slim is going to do much. It's a little too late in the game for a redesigned 360 and most people that probably are interested in the 360 either already have one or would have bought one regardless of whether or not the slim was released.
As for Natal, MS is over hyping the hell out of something that isn't going to make much of an impact. It's just a camera that can sense movement, nothing special. And gaming with no controllers is not going to fly with most people. The eye toy didn't do much, I don't see why people think Natal will.
The lack of precision and accuracy will be a turn off for the hardcore gamers and the difficulty and awkward control will deter most casual gamers. It'll have a few breakout hits that will probably simple quirky games like Sony's ad says, "catch a red ball" and perhaps be used as a secondary feature in some games, but beyond that it won't make an impact.
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