c0rd said:
The Wii will not beat its 2008 year, but that means nothing about how long its life will be. It shouldn't be a problem even if it declines in comparison to 2009, as its 2009 numbers were high enough as it is, and there's no telling if or when it will rise again. People don't seem to realize it, but the PS2 didn't exactly get to where it was from a late peak year. See here:
Worldwide sales
2000: 5.61 million
2001: 16.07 million
2002: 21.29 million
2003: 19.08 million
2004: 16.78 million
2005: 18.78 million
Its NPD looks much worse, if people saw this pattern for the Wii they'd be calling doom on the system even more so:
PS2
2001: (7.4m)
2002: 8.42m (15.8m) <- $100 May price cut ($200)
2003: 6.32m (22.2m) <- $20 May price cut ($180)
2004: 4.63m (26.8m) <- $30 May price cut ($150), Slim model Sept
2005: 5.44m (32.3m)
2006: 4.70m (37.1m) <- $20 April price cut ($130)
2007: 3.97m (41.1m) <- Slim 2
2008: 2.50m (43.6m) <- Slim 3
2009: 1.80m (44.4m) <- $30 April price cut ($99)
Note the peak in 2002, and its resurgence in 2005. Lifetime console sales aren't a sprint, they're a marathon. People are getting too worked up over the Wii's current sales, there's no telling how well it may do later in its life.
|
