Pachter seems to have a history of ignoring facts that cause one to wonder about the hypothesis that he puts forth.
If game units are selling for more than retail prices from "after market vendors" (read eBay and Amazon.com sellers (not Amazon.com itself)), then they are usually not available elsewhere.
Let us take the case of Wii Play. Interesting that it has been hard to find since one of its components is a controller, which have been almost non-existent since the first of the year. Similarly, that is an item usually bought by people getting the system. Thus, no hardware, no Wii Play sales.
On the software front, Monster Hunter Tri has a demo disk. That in and of itself says a big push is being made.
He might be right on the hardware. Though my bet would be that Natal and Move are being oversold, so just having the heretofore little known about it Vitality Sensor coming out is not a big loss for Nintendo.
Pachter and the other analysts could be right about the Wii. But while the past does not guarantee the future, the track record of Pachter et al. leads me to bet against them. After all, the Wii has already doubled the LTD sales many of them predicted before the beginning of the generation.
Mike from Morgantown
 I am Mario.I like to jump around, and would lead a fairly serene and aimless existence if it weren't for my friends always getting into trouble. I love to help out, even when it puts me at risk. I seem to make friends with people who just can't stay out of trouble. Wii Friend Code: 1624 6601 1126 1492 NNID: Mike_INTV |
