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Seihyouken said:
I'd definitely wait to see what Sony has to announce at E3 before making any judgments based on exclusive lineups.

Resistance 3, Killzone 3, Starhawk, Twisted Metal, LittleBigPlanet 2, inFamous 2, Syphon Filter, and MotorStorm 3 have all been tossed around as rumored 2010 titles and if even half of those are true and combined with Gran Turismo 5, The Last Guardian, and Agent, Sony's lineup could really bury Microsoft's if they don't announce anything beyond Halo: Reach and Fable III for later this year.

Media Molecule pretty much killed the idea of LBP2 directly iirc.  They said there'd be no point or something to that effect, and resources would be better served to expanding the original.  We could get another updated SKU of LBP1 though, like the GOTY Edition.

Agent isn't a Sony game either.  If we're going to start with 3rd party stuff, then there Portal 2, Monster Hunter Frontier and some other notable 360 efforts this year.

And if we're delving into "rumored" territory, on Microsoft's end there's also Gears of War 3 and Shadow Complex 2, which have both been rumored for 2010.  Gears 3 alone would be bigger than "half of those" PS3 exclusives combined to be honest.  Microsoft's been strongly rumored to be behind the new Valhalla Games project too (Itagaki's new studio), and there's still talk of a new MMORPG from Mistwalker (though that's cooled some with The Last Story reveal).