In the beginning, I would of said SMG, by a landslide.
Now.....I'm not so sure. Zelda: TP should of done even better than it has (4m) on the Wii.
Right now, it's too early to tell, but I'd say things are going Halo's way. SMG sold under 400,000 copies worldwide last week, despite being near holidays. Japanese sales have been abysmal, but can definately (and will) improve. The question is if SMG does 1m in Japan, or a whole lot more......Like 2.5-3m. If it fails to meet 2m+, it's a near-lock that H3 will win.
So at this point, I would say Halo will wind up with 11m-13.5m. SMG should sell around 8-10m. Definately not a failure by any, any stretch of the imagination.
However, having that 3.5m opening week for H3 might of been the tipping point (since SMG sold around 1.6m first week, and had a big 2nd week drop, ala H3).
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
