Analyst predicts 127m PS3 sales

[Demotruk]

theprof00 said:

Demotruk said:
Wii was up this time last year too.

PS3 should be up for the first half of the year, but I think it'll start making losses at the end of the year as MS steals some thunder and they face a tougher comparison with a stronger latter half of last year.

The amount that they've sold and are trending already going into FF13, GoW3, GT5 and Arc will ensure that it tops last year in sales. They are up 30%, nearly 500k units and are now trending 10-12% higher than last year week over week, not including the big hits coming out in just a short time. By September, they will be up on last year by a few million, which means that even if their christmas decreases by an entire third, they will still beat last year.

God of War will certainly help keep sales up in the near term, but have you noticed that following that there's a four month game drought coming up for PS3 (and 360)? The largest game between then and September look to be Prince of Persia and Lost Planet 2, which are multiplats and not really very big. Unless there's a surprise hit in the summer it's the first drought the HD twins have had since their launch periods. For comparison, the same period last year had Batman: AA, Prototype and Infamous (and the 360 had Gears of War 2). Hence I am not expecting just week sales at Christmas, but for the whole latter half of the year, especially as I think MS will drop the price earlier than Sony.