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RolStoppable said:
@Demotruk

Makes sense. But one factor that makes growth for the PS3 possible is third party support. Historically support for losing systems would decrease drastically from the fourth year onwards. Less new releases resulted in less interested buyers, but that's not going to be the case this gen, hence we'll see sales trends that don't match previous generations.

True. But that should imply a sales pattern *like* a leading console but with smaller numbers. The norm is to peak on the third full year, which is exactly what the PS3 has done unless it somehow peaks this year or next. Both PS3 and 360 should have a good tail after they peak, PS3 moreso due to being perceived as the higher value console, because they fill a purpose that the Wii does not.

None of that implies we should see continual growth until the fifth year or beyond.



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.