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A couple of things to note:

First of all, technology changes will make it difficult for the PS3 maintain momentum. In other words, either the competitors will release more powerful units and 3D will replace HD as the "go to" technology.

In addition, research by Gamasutra poster Ken Masters shows that SACHD has a history of propping up the PS3 with its predictions.

July 2005 -- Worldwide Through 2012
Sony PS3 - 121.8 million (61%)
Xbox 360 - 58.8 million (30%)
Nintendo Wii - 18 million (9%)
Total - 198.6 million


July 2006 -- Worldwide Through 2012
Sony PS3 - 121.8 million (59.47%)
Xbox 360 - 59.7 million (29.15%)
Nintendo Wii - 23.3 million (11.38%)
Total - 204.8 million

Note that the Wii's worldwide sales are current more than the combined totals for 2012 of both these predictions. Also, sitting less than one-quarter into 2010 -- there are only about 60-65M sales to come in the next 2-3/4 years (139.3M units sold worldwide so far).

Mike from Morgantown



      


I am Mario.


I like to jump around, and would lead a fairly serene and aimless existence if it weren't for my friends always getting into trouble. I love to help out, even when it puts me at risk. I seem to make friends with people who just can't stay out of trouble.

Wii Friend Code: 1624 6601 1126 1492

NNID: Mike_INTV