| Gilgamesh said: I suppose it can happen, it's not impossible. 2006: 1.2 million 2007: 7.6 million 2008: 9.6 million 2009: 12.7 million 2010: 15 million 2011: 17 million 2012: 15 million 2013: 12 million 2014: 10 million 2015: 8 million 2016: 5 million Total: 113 million, seems somewhat reasonable, we'll likely see the PS3 at $199 or less in 2011. Along with big exclusives and constant updates, new features, and peripherals it should keep selling at a good constant pace. As for the Wii, the only reason it'd stop selling at 103 million, is either a new console (HD) in order to try to steal some 3rd party devs from X360 and PS3. Or it'll actually slow down and sell worst and worst from now on, by the looks of it the Wii may have already peaked. |
Those numbers are nuts, completely nuts. A $299 PS3 failed to turn things around, but a $199 PS3 will? Come on. There's already a $199 substitute product on the market that will probably be $99 or $149 before PS3 gets to $199.
PS3 will not have growth in it's fourth and fifth full years on the market, and definitely not the growth you suggest.
A game I'm developing with some friends:
www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm
It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.
