So if Nintendo release a new console in 2011, that's not going to have any impact on the current machines? It'll only impact the Wii? PS3 will grow regardless? I find that hard to believe. Not that I expect Nintendo's next machine to kill off 360 and PS3, but I'm not sure these analysts are taking into account the effect a new Nintendo machine could have on the market as a whole.
This is the story we've been hearing for years. I expect the PS3 has a couple more strong years in it, maybe positive growth this year and flat next year, but 127 million is a little high for lifetime sales, in my opinion. I think we'll see Wii nearer that mark. As for 360 and PS3, it's hard to speculate how long their tails will be without Natal and Arc on the market. The impact of those two devices could be significant or non-existent.
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