The idea that just because the PS3 sales are sucking right now means that they will always suck, and they will crawl in a hole and die. That logic, in light of other system's sales just isn't true. Take the PS1/N64 sales in the US: At the end of Year 1 (their second Christmas): PS1; 3,020,500 Units Sold N64; 7,138,750 Units sold Year 2: PS1; 9,060,500 Units Sold N64; 11,878,000 Units Sold Year 3: PS1; 17,717,750 Units Sold N64; 15,870,500 Units Sold Do you see where the big momentum shift was? The PS1 was mauled LTD in the first year, and somewhat the second, but after that, the rest was history. The PS3 has "some" of those saving qualities the PS1 had: It was future-proofed against the N64, and while the N64 sales stagnated in year 2 and 3, the PS1 only increased. The PS3 is sucking about as much as it can right now, it's so low, the only way it can go is up :) Do I think it'll pull a PS3 and sell 100m units w/w? Heck no. But I do believe that it'll survive and do well. Now, as for the best years: Wii: 2008 - I believe that after 2008, sales will slowly decline during major shopping holidays, and although will remain decent in 2009, won't reach the same global ability in sales. Xbox 360: 2007 - GTA IV + Halo 3 + Pricedrop - Any PS3 competition = Ownage supreme. Should do well enough with H3/GTAIV to give it significant sales in US and Europe, with Lost Odyssey selling well in Japan. The next possible great selling season will be 2009 or 2010 when H4 ships, and we see similar uber-sales....But for now, I'm sticking with the no-brainer. NDS: 2007. Until the DSA launches, 2007 should be the uber-year for the DS. Although 08 and subsequent years will be great, I feel J-addiction to the DS will reach its fevor pitch this year, and slightly cool off next year. Expect 10m units sold in 8 weeks. Believe! PSP: Never. :) I have no real idea or say in how well the PSP would do. I assume 2006 will be its best year before a PSP revision. Playstation 3: 2010. It'll be a long time before the PS3 gains enough momentum vs. the other systems. By 2010, the Wii sales will be rather weak in Japan (as by then, everyone owns a Wii), and the 360 will start being outdated in some major games. Enough to garner around 14m units sold w/w that year. I see, The Source, that you've updated and increased your overall sales. I might disagree with the high Wii sales, but I do like the numbers. PS3: 70-78m units from 2006 to 2012 Xbox 360: 52.5m~57.5m units from 2005 to 2012 Wii: 47.5~55.0m units from 2006 to 2011 (major revision in 2010, add 25m units onto this number to equal number of systems vs. PS3/360 in 2012) DS: 105m before major revision in 2011 (250m+ for 2 generations of DS systems) PSP: 45m before PSP2 in 2010 or even 2009. (PSP2 sells 55m units)
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
