I'm like Rol. Love the thought that goes into your threads, don't understand where the numbers are coming from. Moving past the lifetime sales numbers, and looking at the thread topic--peak year sales... I agree that 360's biggest year will probably be only about 8 million. PS3 will also only be around 8 million. It'll sell 1 million more units than 360 in Japan, but 1 million less in NA. Its Japanese total will end under 5 million. Oh, I'm crazy, right? But what has PS3 done in Japan so far except bomb worse than anyone could have imagined? I disagree on PSP--I think it has basically already peaked. Its not going to top 10 million/year in the future. Nintendo "focusing on Wii" is not going to benefit PSP. DS's peak sales are going to start with the number "3." 30 million +. Nintendo are trying to expand the gaming audience in NA and PAL like they have in Japan. But even if they only expand it a little bit, and do it before they hit a ceiling in Japan (2007 would be ideal), they can do 9 mil Jap/11 mil NA/10 mil PAL. Oh, I'm crazy, right? But what has DS done so far except exceed everyone's wildest expectations? Wii, its hard to tell... But again, I think 30 million is in play. If Nintendo succeeds in expanding the gaming audience, those are the numbers which are possible. Other systems have done over 20 million, and Nintendo feels this is an unacceptably small niche. And no, it won't come in 2007. Just like DS will peak in either 2007 or 2008, Wii won't peak until 2009 or 2010, probably. And it will do it with more sales in the West, and less sales in Japan, than DS will.
"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."
Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.
