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HexenLord on 08 March 2010
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The ps3 may approach 100 million, but 127 is a little bit pushing it.

HDTVs will become more standard over the next 5 years. The ps3 will get a sales boost alone based on the fact that its an excellent bluray player.

Price cuts will happen. It doesn't matter if it cost 600+ to produce a ps3 in the past, it barely costs more than 300 now. Eventually the price to produce a PS3 will drop, and so will the price to buy one. It may not happen until 5 years into the consoles life cycle, but that would leave it another 5 years before they start getting pushed aside for whatever super-powered console will come via next gen (I can see a twin-cell PS4 /w 2-4Gigs of XDR ram and USB3 capability).

More and more content is becoming rapidly available for the PS3 as developers move into HD games and some of Sony's larger franchises start releasing and gaining support. GT5 may very well move almost a million ps3s on its own over its lifespan, thanks to REAL WORLD compatibility with some of GT5s automotive technology.

3D won't have an immediate effect on ps3 sales, but in another ~3-4 years when 3D HDTVs are as common as walmart as the average HDTV is now, sales will still remain steady.

I guess what I'm trying to say is, the PS3 will have enough support over the rest of its 10-year lifecycle to continue selling the way it has for the last 2 years. Sure sales will be low for the last 2-3 years, but 90-100 million will be entirely do-able.

Sadly for the 360, most of this doesn't apply. Incredible exclusives and hardcore fans will keep hardware sales up for a few years, but I don't see its sales remaining very strong for the next 3-5 years. I don't see why it wouldn't top 75+ million by the end of its life cycle, though.