Monster Hunter Tri - Set for success in the US?

[Kenryoku_Maxis]

LordTheNightKnight said:

"And gave a good example, Dragon Quest. Every RPG series, from FInal Fantasy to Mass Effect, has gotten popular through two things. Tons of hype and advertising."

Dragon Quest has yet to become popular in the west. Final Fantasy VII broke through in one game due to the $100 million marketing campaign Sony gave it. Mass Effect took one game to become a hit.

My point was, both Final Fantasy and Mass Effect got popular due to the massive amounts of marketing and hype put behind them.  While Dragon Quest has yet to become popular because no company has yet to put a major marketing push behind it (my counter example).

Monster Hunter Tri is getting a moderate marketing push, but its nothing like a Final Fantasy or Mass Effect game.  So it'll consequently probably sell a moderate amount.  And for a third party Wii game, a moderate amount, with no name brand recognition, is around 200,000-400,000 copies.  Maybe 500,000 or above if its lucky.