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astrosmash on 07 March 2010
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sergiodaly said:
astrosmash said:
sergiodaly said:
superchunk said:
not going to happen. 2012 will usher in new machines and as usual the "losers" will fade out really quickly.

with the low 3rd party support the "winner" is getting my feeling is that the "winner" is the one that is going to fade out quickly. the "losers" can still survive for some time with the devs and publishers support...

 

If we assume the 2012 date to be true, who do you think is more likely to buy a 7 year old game console in 2013, the demographs that frequent the Wii or the demographs that frequent the HD consoles?

in 2012 with nearly no 3rd party support (not saying its going to happen but all clues point to that) and only nintendo games coming out, there may be somebody to buy it, but many people with no money to upgrade to the next gen and still getting the games for the current one might do the purchase... nintendo have very popular and strong franchises, but they aren't that many, and the HD twins seems to also have some very popular and strong franchises but they are in bigger number and in bigger genres so they appeal to larger demographics...

IMO

 

Ah, I understand. We are coming at this problem with completely different notions of what sells a console after its gen is over.

 

You see, I don't believe there is such a thing as a "system  seller" game in the waning years of a console's life; at least not a newly released system seller. I am working on the presumption that sales of a system which occur in the next gen are driven by its existing library and the low price (for both hardware and games).

 

I should further note that the make of the library of the Wii would (imo) be an advantage to its lifespan, not a hindrence. By having a small number of very popular games means that retailers like Walmart could give a small amount of prime shelf space to Wii, yet still feature all the games its best known for. Meanwhile, the bargain bins will be over flowing with games that might be priced even lower than the PS2 games are priced there today.