Well the problem with running numbers on the Wii is no one really knows the upper limits of its demand, since supply has never really been able to outstrip demand in all regions at once. You could argue based on supply, but do you really know whether Nintendo has reached the limits of production, in the long run all factors are variable, while 40 million next year may be out of reach due to supply constraints, saying 240 million is laughable in its lifetime is foolishness on Stickball's part as he can only guess at the maximum demand and supply for the Wii.
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
