3 reasons why Halo: Reach WON'T outsell Modern Warfare 2

[Mendicate Bias]

Zipper said:

Mendicate Bias said:
It probably won't sell as well as MW2 on the 360 but your reasons are horrible.

Looking at the sales of an RTS and an expansion that used the same engine as a 2 year old game and did not have its own multiplayer matchmaking system and saying that these two show that Halo is becoming a weaker brand is just plain wrong.

Thats like looking at the sales of GTA: Episodes of Liberty City and saying that the GTA brand is weakening because the expansion didn't sell 8 million. News just in, expansions don't sell as well as full games.

Looking at it in perspective though shows you how wrong you are about the Halo brand strength. Halo Wars is the best selling RTS on consoles of all time, ODST is probably the best selling expansion of all time (may be wrong on that one) and Halo 3 was the most played game on xbox live in 2007, 2008, 2009 and is currently the second most played game behind MW2. Does that sound like a weakening franchise to you?

Your post is funny because the GTA brand is in fact a weaker brand if you look at the sales of GTA vs GTA:SA there is a very big gap

Well you clearly didn't understand my post at all. Go read it again. 

Catfang is arguing that an expansion weakened the Halo brand because it did not sell as well as Halo 3. This has nothing to do with a brand weakening over time like GTA has. He's saying that because an expansion didn't sell well that shows Halo is becoming weaker, well then that means that every game in history that has released an expansion is becoming a weaker brand too since expansions never ever sell as well as the original product.

Besides GTA IV sold amazingly on a massively truncated console base than last generations, this is not including the episodic content that has sold very well too.

His reasoning is flawed even if what he says may in fact happen. If I say the sun is getting hotter because the days are getting longer when in fact its because the summer season is approaching does that make me right?