I think it will sell very well indeed.
Over 1mil would be good in my books.
Just because it doesn't appeal to kids doesn't mean it won't do well, theres a huge buzz about this round my way from anyone whose got a PS3. The only people that don't seem interested in it are the Xbox fanbois who haven't played the demo or haven't looked into it.
It's something fresh and new, something gamers have needed for a long time. I haven't seen anything truly "different" since the PS1 really and heavy rain hits that spot once again. It might not be the best game ever, it may be flawed, but its still new and different and that excites a lot of people.
I think you'll find it does better in "others" than in America, but it will do well.
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