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Vetteman94 said:

A few of your points are quite wrong. 

The BDA has more power than you give credit for.  They include every major movie production company in the world, if one starts doing something that will help with Blu-ray adoption,  the others will follow. 

I believe this happened once before........, oh thats right it did,  DVD did the same to VHS.

You are wrong  about the influence of the BDA. They can try to suggest an action (which in reality always have to come from some of its members...) but they are in no position to do anything against members that act against their advice.

Although they are members of the same association they are direct competitors and do what they think is best for their own company.

You are right that 6they only have limited control about their market prices. They have direct control about the prices that the big distributors have to pay to them.

But if you try to compare it with VHS: It will not work. The end of the VHS Tapes had a combination of several elements:

1. The reproduction costs were quite high and set a lower boundary of the prices hat you always have to earn per tape.

2. In the place of one VHS tape you could put 2 DVDs aqnd after some adjustments theyx were able to put even more DVDs in the space that they previously used for VHS. At the same time tapes wer heavier and more expensive to ship. Both factors were HUGE advantages to retailers. So they were interested to push DVDs a bit more and lowered their ßprices in the hope of a higther turn around rate. DVDs that stay in the store don't earn money.

Blu-rays don't have these advantages compared to DVDs