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Polarimetric said:
Adobo said:

you could have just say yes and bump it up to 70 but you did not... You failed.

I wonder if you use the same theory when handling money... you'll go into a lot of debt that way.

 

I genuinely do not believe the 360 will reach 70 million. Will it come close? Absolutely. Within 2 million? I think so. But I don't think it's going to cross that number, and I'm not going to "bump up" my numbers just to say that it will.

 

@Slimebeast: I counted 2005 as a full year. I should not have because the 360 came out in November. I stand corrected.

And yes, I do. Price cuts aren't coming in this gen like they did in previous gens but I believe that there is a reason for that. Buyers of HD consoles in this generation are buying their console of choice (or consoles) because they want the console itself. They may wait for a price cut, which is why all consoles experience a spike in sales once a price cut comes along, but I do not believe that a price cut alone is going to attract NEW buyers to an HD console if they didn't want it to begin with. The whole "hardcore" market has upgraded by now to this generation, and just one glance at the Wii's sales in comparison to the HD consoles shows that casual console buyers with minimal gaming experience do not yet care about whether or not their games are in HD. The types of buyers that would buy a console just because it's cheaper are already in the Wii camp and are there to stay. A price cut is not going to be enough to push the 360 sales up enough to counter the natural decrease over time of sales due to antiquation.

Your wrong. There's customers for every price point. Splitting the market into just two groups, hardcore who already bought HD and the casuals who buy cheap (Wii) is far too simple.

I know there are millions of guys out there that owned a PS2 (or the similar type, but just were born a decade later), that aren't super interested in gaming and aren't the people who buy 30 or 40 games in a generation, but they want to play some cool games. Often impulse buyers. Not all of these want to spend $300 on a console and not all of these want a Wii, and even if they did a lot of them will want their GTA's and Call of Dutys too.

7 million X360s... Why would the X360 start tanking like that next year? We're at the peak of this gen. Almost no software companies are speaking of next gen. There's no rumours about next gen hardware. PS3 just reached mass market price. MS is pushing Natal hard for Nov 2010 and next year. This year is the biggest year for games since 2003 (or 2001, I don't know lol). 2011 will see a $149 Xbox 360. This is the golden age of HD.