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I'd have to agree with the other opinions that Wii will pass it for the following reasons.

1. Following the worldwide charts with aligned launches the Wii has always been significantly ahead of the PS2's trend.

2. Every market leader stays on retail shelves for years after a new generation has begun. Thus, Wii will NOT be discontinued in 2012 when its sequel is released. It will remain on shelves for about 4-5 years after that.

The only thing that could possible screw the Wii is if 3rd parties completely abandon it in favor of HD Twins since their combined market share is still greater than Wii's whereas every other market leader has had a larger base than all competitors combined.