Which game is going to top March 2010 NPD software charts?

[jarrod]

daveJ said:

Good numbers for the Pokémon games, but they still don't quite match Halo's. So I think that HG/SS won't top March NPD charts this year.

No pokemon is definitely not a halo/MW/GTA launch where its how many million is it going to sell in the month

Yes based on those numbers the fact that the most recent GOW sold more than the most recent pokemon game.
Also
GOW1 to GOW2 300% increase, series is increasing with popularity
diamond to platinum 20% decrease, series is decreasing with popularity

I'ld say GOW3 will outsell gold or silver [whatever sells the best] by about 250k

Er, Platinum's an expanded rerelease of Diamond/Pearl, not a sequel.  It's like comparing Gears 360 to Gears PC and saying "decrease!".

I don't think HG/SS will do quite as well as D/P overall, as they're remakes and not new installments, but they'll still be solid 5m+ combined lifetime seller in the US.  For the first NPD, I think they'll match or exceed D/P though thanks to an extra week of coverage.  GOW3 might beat one version, but even that's iffy.  No PS3 exclusive ever cleared a million 1st NPD.  Not Killzone 2, not Uncharted 2, not GT5P, not MGS4.  None.