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Previous NPD debuts since 2005...

  • 03/22/05 God of War [PS2] 214k
  • 04/30/05 Pokemon Emerald [GBA] 833k* reported in May NPD
  • 10/31/06 Final Fantasy XII [PS2] 896k* reported in Nov NPD
  • 03/13/07 God of War II [PS2] 833k
  • 04/22/07 Pokemon Diamond [DS] 1045k
  • 04/22/07 Pokemon Pearl [DS] 712k
  • 06/23/08 Battlefield: Bad Company [360] 346.8k
  • 06/23/08 Battlefield: Bad Company [PS3] ???* didn't chart in top 20
  • 03/22/09 Pokemon Platinum [DS] 805k
...Pokemon has this one in the bag imo.  GOW3 might be able to bump the less popular SKU though (probably HG imo).