Metallicube said:
vaio said:
IvorEvilen said:
morenoingrato said:
killeryoshis said:
I decided to compare the wii and ps2's sells year by year How much is the system outselling it 2000 PS2 2006 Wii Lead PS2 2.1 million 5 million 2.9 million
2001 PS2 2007 Wii Lead PS2 2.1 million 15.8 million 15.8 million
2002 PS2 2008 Wii Lead Wii 5.2 million 20 million 27.3 million
2003 PS2 2009 Wii Lead Wii 8.1 million 18 million 20.9 million
2004 PS2 2010 Wii Lead wii 13.1 million 15 million 20 million(estimate)
2005 2011 Wii Lead Wii 15.1 million 18 million 20 million (estimate)
2006 PS2 2012 Wii Lead Wii 19.1 million 13 million 17 million (estimate)
2007 PS2 2013 Wii Lead Wii 23.1 million 10 million 14 million (estimate)
2008 PS2 2014 Wii Lead Wii 22.1 million 8 million 7 million (estimate)
2009 PS2 2015 Wii Lead Wii 21.1 million 4 million 3 million (estimate
As you can see the wii is outselling the PS2 year by year. If wii keeps the pace up. It will have no problem outselling it.
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Will they really keep the wii so long?
I don't think so
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It might be around to 2012... but no longer. Even then, the Wii won't continue to sell above 10 million in 2012 and 2011 (if the new console it out by then), unless Nintendo really flops with its next piece of hardware. I would bet on their next console having amazing sales... Although, it is possible for Nintendo to support Wii fully with its next console out... but I don't think they would want the Wii getting in the way of their next system's potential. Backwards compatibility?
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Why wouldnt they support the Wii for as long as possible?
The Nes was supported for 12 years in the US and for 20 years in Japan
The Snes was supported for 9 years in the US and 13 in Japan
So there is no reason to think that Nintendo would support the Wii for less then 9-10 years
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Agreed. The only reason N64 and Cube were supported for 5 years is because they only SOLD for 5 years. Nintendo's more successful consoles, the NES and Super NES, were both supported and milked for 10+ years, so there is no reason to believe Nintendo wouldn't do the same for Wii.
Like I've said before, 2012 is a good year to release their next console IMO, reason being that would make the lifespan six years, which was how long the PS2 was heavilly supported before PS3, and Wii is tracking similar to PS2 in sales. Also, Wii should have around 3 more years of strong sales left in it. Motion plus is just now getting going and Vitality Sensor has not even come out yet, which is another potential massive hit to carry the Wii further.
So 2012 for the new console, maybe 2014 or 2015 to completely cut support of Wii and shift focus exclusively to the new console.
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Well, with a console as well selling as the Wii, it could get in the way of Nintendo's next system. In many ways, it seems like the PS2 got in the way of the PS3, and it seems like a casual crowd who go for the cheap console puts Nintendo at more of a risk, although, I'm not trained to make these predictions. In my opinion, I think it would be smarter for Nintendo to get the next system as cheap as possible and wean out the Wii.