Will wii outsell the PS2? If yes when?

[vaio]

IvorEvilen said:

morenoingrato said:

killeryoshis said:

I decided to compare the wii and ps2's sells year by year
                                                                                         How much is the system outselling it
2000 PS2                                 2006 Wii                         Lead PS2 2.1 million
5 million                                   2.9 million                          

2001 PS2                                 2007 Wii                           Lead PS2 2.1 million
15.8 million                              15.8 million

2002 PS2                                  2008 Wii                         Lead Wii 5.2 million
20 million                                  27.3 million

2003 PS2                                  2009 Wii                          Lead Wii 8.1 million
18 million                                  20.9 million      

2004 PS2                                  2010 Wii                            Lead wii 13.1 million
15 million                                   20 million(estimate)

2005                                        2011 Wii                                Lead Wii 15.1 million
18 million                                 20 million (estimate)

2006 PS2                                 2012 Wii                           Lead Wii 19.1 million
13 million                                  17 million (estimate) 

2007 PS2                                   2013 Wii                              Lead Wii  23.1 million
10 million                                  14 million (estimate)

2008 PS2                                   2014 Wii                             Lead Wii   22.1 million
8 million                                     7 million  (estimate)

2009 PS2                                   2015 Wii                              Lead Wii   21.1 million
4 million                                     3 million (estimate


As you can see the wii is outselling the PS2 year by year. If wii keeps the pace up. It will have no problem outselling it.

Will they really keep the wii so long?

I don't think so

It might be around to 2012... but no longer.  Even then, the Wii won't continue to sell above 10 million in 2012 and 2011 (if the new console it out by then), unless Nintendo really flops with its next piece of hardware.  I would bet on their next console having amazing sales...  Although, it is possible for Nintendo to support Wii fully with its next console out... but I don't think they would want the Wii getting in the way of their next system's potential.  Backwards compatibility?

Why wouldnt they support the Wii for as long as possible?

The Nes was supported for 12 years in the US and for 20 years in Japan

The Snes was supported for 9 years in the US and 13 in Japan

So there is no reason to think that Nintendo would support the Wii for less then 9-10 years