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Lots of good reasons here for TvsC but I still gave my vote to NMH2 - it has the advantage of an installed base on Wii. The same folks that bought NHM and Madworld will likely get NMH2.
Vs has never been big and fighters (aside from SSBB 'natch) never big on Wii. If it was a more regonizable license (DBZ Vs Capcom, Jump Stars Vs Capcom or Nintendo Vs Capcom) it'd sell a lot better. Even a lot of the Capcom characters are relative unknowns.