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thetonestarr said:

Don't get me wrong; I think Zelda Wii will ultimately sell more. But when it's two months older than SMG2 going into the holiday season, I can't help but expect SMG2 will sell better during that window.

After the holiday season, I expect Zelda Wii will gradually take the weekly sales lead again.

 

@Ninten78 - do you have any logic to defend that prediction? Mario has seen TWO major console releases in the time that Zelda has seen one, and both more recent. And with only a window of 10 months between major console Mario releases, that will end up only hurting SMG2's sales AND damage NSMBW's legs as well. They want to milk out NSMBW as long as possible, I think, and diminish their reliance on traditional Mario titles with other major AAA hits. Unless you've got good logic, I don't see that order being how it happens. I almost assuredly have to place Mario as the last title this year.

Releasing SMG 2 10 months after NSMBWii will not hurt the sales of SMG 2 nor will it cut off the legs of NSMBWii.  Both of these games are different experiences.  Plus, NSMBWii is an evergreen title (like Mario Kart or Wii Fit), while Galaxy 2 is not.  Customers see these as two very different types of games (like Mario Kart vs. Paper Mario-- very different games that happen to have the same character in it).

 

I originally thought Galaxy 2 would release in the Summer, but cosidering that Nintendo has opened a website up for Other M, I have rethought that position.  I currently think this:

 

Other M-- Summer, late July or August.  This will allow Nintendo to hype it up to the gamers that follow E3.

Galaxy 2-- September or October.  I think September will be more likely because I don't see Other M performing that well (2 million ltd will be lucky for this game) and Nintendo will need something to release to pick up the slack in the traditional gamer area.

Zelda-- November, perhaps on black friday in the US.    This, along with Wii Vitality, will be the big Christmas games for Nintendo.