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Right now Konami has to sell about 4 million copies of MGS4 to break even. And believe me, MGS is not a game Konami wants to break even with. It´s possibly their biggest game and they will want an enormous profit on it.

Say PS3 has 10 M install base by April, that means an attach rate of 40% to break even, this will be next to impossible, let alone make a profit. (For refrence± MGS 3 sold a little under 4 million on PS2).

So either Sony pays Konami a lot of money or the´ll port it to the 360.