About PS3: I wouldn´t worry here. Metal Gear and Final Fantasy will - if not completely exclusive - at least be timed exclusives and a huge reason to buy a PS3, as Gran Turismo will, no doubt. Still, expect those games to sell worse than their PSX and PS2 counterparts.
Remember Nintendo: Super Mario World sold 20 million copies, Mario 64 sold 11 million and Sunshine sold 6 million because the last two games were released on less popular platforms. New Super Mario Bros. on the other hand sold more than 10 million copies already because of the popular DS, and Mario Galaxy US sales are amazing. The same will happen with PS3 games, they will sell less than their PS2 brothers.
About Xbox 360 in Japan: Take a look at the sales charts, the Xbox 360 sells 5-6k units each week... we are long out of the 2-3k mark. Some people just don´t notice this little point. And more games are coming. Microsoft is struggling there but their struggle is slowly doing some good to them.
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