Edouble24 said: Zucas said: eugene said: Halo 2 had a nearly 20 million installed base when it was launched. Halo 3 has a nearly 50% attach rate and thats what primarily held back its sales and why it dropped so fast. It will have long legs though. In the end, I can see it at 10 million + sales. |
10 million is plausible but highly unlikely. 360 would need lifetime sales of well over 40 million for this to even be considered. Not to mention I would assume most of that would come from America, meaning 8 million lifetime in America. Which I don't even thing many of the GTA and GT games from the PS2 did that in America, and it had an install base in America alone of 40 million. So that's really a tough call but I won't rule out 10 million but its highly unlikely just for those reasons. | Highly unlikely? I think Halo 3 will surely sell another 4 million units. It hasn't even had one holiday season yet. The title just launched...10 million will be easy. |
Your thinking about the sales in too much of a linear pattern. It just doesn't work like that. You need to think of outside patterns, trends, and of course remember that sales work in weird ways sometimes. Not to mention the kind of game Halo is will sell in different ways then a game like Wii Play.