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I think KZ2 fever is building up again. The game looks good, will play good, but will sell below expectations because:

It is rated mature - will be out for a good part of the market
PS crowd like new, novel games - this does not fit in the bill
GoW Collection sold well but not amazingly well
Sony bundles all games - there won't be thousands of GoW bundles as by the time, we will be having Heavy Rain, GT5, FF13 and other bundles
Bad time of year to release, due to competition

3 million is a good sales record, but I think the game will struggle to do more.