So if 4% of PS3's break (low estimate), his odds aren't THAT unreasonable. Odds of one breaking are 4/100. Odds of two breaking is 4/100*4/100 = 16/1000 Odds of three then are 16/1000 * 4/100 = 64/100,000
If 32.2 million people have them:
64/100,000 = x/32,200,000
x= 20,608
So math-wise, at least 20,608 have had three or more PS3's break on them, assuming a 4% failure rate.
That works out to only .06% of owners. But it happens. Odds are way better of this than, say, winning the Lotto jackpot.