Alby_da_Wolf said: ^^ I don't agree, it's not well defined as an ON/OFF situation. Besides this, in previous posts you looked like you assumed incumbent reaction would be either wrong or inadequate or actually favouring disruptor's plans, while in your last message you acknowledge the possibility for the incumbent of adopting adequate countermeasures. |
The only adequate countermeasure is to co-opt the disruption, to disrupt the disruptor, but that is pretty impossible for Sony and MS to do, they don't have the values of Nintendo, this is not a knock against them, its what helped them in the old market, but it won't help them to fight off Nintendo's disruption, this is why I discounted their response.
Actually it is pretty much an on/off thing, either you have the same values and skills and processes, or you don't, if you don't then you can't appeal to the consumers that the disruptor has brought in, if you could, then they wouldn't have been non-consumers/overshot consumers prior to the disruption.
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)