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nintendo_fanboy said:
A lot of you are exremely overestimating this game's sales. Here are some factors that usually hurt sales:

-The first installment of a series usually sells better than upcoming ones, so it'll be hard to beat TP for this game.
-Usage of the Wii Motion Plus could be hurting, it doesn't have though.
-Unlike the successful bridge games that were either Mario or new franchises, Zelda is either not known to casuals at all, or worse, known as a hardcore franchise that isn't for them
-the two DS games that had that bridgey approach didn't sell more than other games in the franchise, Spirit Tracks seems to sell even worse than PH.


All in all, I think if Nintendo tries to cater the casuals the game won't sell over 5 million because casuals will still not be interested in the game in huge amounts while hardcore gamers will be a bit reserved if the game isn't primarily for them.

If Nintendo is able to create a revolutionary game that still feels like a Zelda (As they did with OoT), they might be able to reach the 7-8 million range. I think everything north of 8 million is completely illusionary.

 

Check the bolded. I'm sorry, what? Spirit Tracks is selling worse than Phantom Hourglass - in Japan. Compare Phantom Hourglasses sales in america (aside from the first week) and "other" to what Spirit Tracks has sold so far. Spirit Tracks is selling a little better than Phantom Hourglass did outside of Japan.

 

Zelda's only declining in sales in Japan. That can still be considered a decline in sales, but over here and elsewhere its as strong as ever - sales wise. Besides, Zelda always sells better when its something really new (Phantom Hourglass), so I have a hunch Zelda Wii might sell around one million units in Japan, more so or less so.

 

 

and just for the record, I don't think Zelda Wii will sell more than 8 million in its lifetime. Only if its Motion+ controls are absolutely incredibly, and somehow go beyond the experience in Wii Sports Resort which creates some kind of super hype for it. If the Motion Controls don't carry it much, about 6 million. But we'll never know until it starts selling.