How will Monster Hunter 3 sell?

[SaviorX]

Soriku said:

SaviorX said:

Son1x said:

SaviorX said:
Capcom wanted 2 million worldwide.

With the 1 million they will get from Japan, it will be below their expectations.
Europe won't buy much of it (they barely buy anything anymore), but America may be around 200k-400k.

So low end: 1.25m (1m JP, .20m NA, .05m EU)
High end: 1.51m (1.01m JP, .40m NA, .1m EU)

Wow, you expect such low sales for Europe?

MHF sold 1.42m, 0.23m in US and 0.16m in Europe
MHF2 sold 2.39m, 0.37m in US and 0.27m in Europe
MHFU sold 3.96m, 0.20m in US and 0.23m in Europe

All on PSP, where Europe hardly sells any software.

To be honest, I have no faith in the European market whatsoever. Also, I doubt that the success that would come for a portable entry of the series will fare as successfully on a home console. Sometimes, the move doesn't translate well in terms of sales, and it loses the appeal.

Europe is also Sony's dominant market I believe, so they have some leeway there.

That's only true if the series was popular on handhelds to begin with. Outside of Japan it certainly isn't.

You really think it'll only sell 50k-100k in EU with obvious great marketing? Even No More Heroes sold more than that. Hell even Little King's Story is already at 70k. Neither title recieved any marketing.

Do you want to bet on this? Should be an easy win :P

A lot has changed in the 2 months since I made that post.

I revised my predicted sales recently to 1.85m WW (1m JP, 580k NA, 270k EU/O) with the Japanese sales included. I'm not trying to gas my own head up only to be disappointed. I have to see to which extent Nintendo will assist Capcom in marketing the title.