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Zucas said:
Slimebeast said:
Zucas said:

Well the main factor is if Zelda Wii makes it this year. I'm skeptical about it, but if it makes it, then well we know the nature of Zelda console games and high praise haha. I won't name what I think the GOTY will be because that would be silly with none of these games out but if I had to guess potential nominees I'd think:

Super Mario Galaxy 2 possibly. But there's always the anti-Wii bias.
Zelda Wii yes, if 2010
Bioshock 2 no chance
Mass Effect 2 no chance
Halo: Reach yes
Starcraft 2 yes
Last Guardian yes, if 2010
God of War 3 no chance
Gran Turismo 5  yes
Metroid: Other M what?

Excuse me if I'm missing any, but there is a lot of big brands in 2010. I'd give outside shots to

Monster Hunter 3, Heavy Rain, Splinter Cell: Conviction, Epic Mickey, Fable 3, Final Fantasy XIII, etc. just no lol

All I know is 2010 is cluttered with some of the biggest projects ever. There has never been a year with this many big games, and the closest rivals are 2004 and namely 2007. Going to be fun to be a gamer this year.

 

Well don't forget my main assumption was that we can't determine exact quality of any game that hasn't released, so best we can do is just list the big brands and AAA development titles (that is what AAA means actually haha games that have high production values and intended to sell) to figure out potential nominees which ultimately give them a shot.  Then of course I throw in a little of my own knowledge of how this works which is why no handheld game is on there and why I was very weary of any real new IP aside from the big hyped ones. 

Well, that's why I replied and commented on your listed games specifically. Because I strongly believe GOTY can be nailed down to a handful of titles even at this early point.

Well, we dont know much about Fable III yet and maybe a miracle happens and Molyneuz fulfills all his promises for once lol.

Anyway, lets pick God of War 3, SplinterCell, Bioshock 2 and ME 2. While Im confident they're gonna get 93-95% on Meta, they won't get GOTY simply because they're too niched, won't get enough sales and are released too early in the year.

Final Fantasy is already far too criticised even before release to have even a remote chance.

Metroid M... even that Malstrom guy hates the idea lol.

Heavy Rain - a 1 million selling interactive movie xclusive on PS3 getting GOTY? No.