Avinash_Tyagi on 29 November 2007
So you cherry pick 2 particularly absurd predictions on which to base your argument? The only one that's a legitimate call was Soriku's, and that failed only because Sony was so desperate (and you know it was) that it had to reprice and redesign the PS3.... twice.
Sorry but Wii can easily sell over the PS1, PS2 and PS3, first the third will pretty much be a non issue, and so the numbers will probably be below 300 million for the whole PS family overall, the Wii has already sold 14 million in the time it took PS2 to sell seven, Wii has yet to be easily available in most markets, and has mass appeal that no other console ever had, its also likely to gain more traction over the next few years as its library grows at a fast rate, and it has yet to drop its price or release a secondary color, there is no reason to expect that its sales will not end up doubling the sales of PS2 and therefore outselling the entire PS family
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
