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Yeah, I don't believe those wii numbers one bit. VGC has undertracked ps3 and wii recently iirc, but nothing THAT crazy. I'm going to go with what Nintendo said, "over 3m".

However, I wonder if there's this possibility:
People ordered wiis online, and were out of stock and so were placed on back order which weren't sold until January. I can't really think of any other way they could be right, and even so, it's quite a stretch of the imagination.