Potential to do what? Sell? Be the best gaming peripheral?
I think Natal has more potential than the Sony Wands because firstly, it's meant to be cross-platform and there are many more 360/PC owners out there than there are PS3 owners. I think the retail price of Natal will be lower too, and I think that motion controls are flawed in respect of there being no feedback, so if you're going to use them, you might as well free yourself from a controller altogether. I think that the general public will pick up on this in terms of perception once the ads start to hit TV, so I don't see the Wands attracting as many new people to the PS3 (as they will just think "it's the Wii all over again!") as Natal will attract to the 360. I also think that MS will market Natal far better than Sony will market their Wands and you'll probably see 360 Arcade + Natal + Natal game bundles available much cheaper than PS3 + Wand + Wand game bundles.
Another thing is whether either company will patch existing games to use these accessories and whether that will give gamers a tangible advantage over people that don't own them. That could also make/break them.
Sales = Natal
Gaming performance = I'll wait and see what they're like before judging them
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