No I don't think so, The 360 has a lot of shooter fans, Natal will do nothing for shooters. Halo Reach will not sale 10 copies for a very long time ,If it ever does. Alan Wake will be average. Splinter cell Conviction will be a good game , but ounce again It won't sale over 3 million copies for a long time. They have a few others but nothing hugh other then Reach. Natal will do OK for certain games but its not going to be the 360 savier like they think. 360 will have a all around average year.