Johns 20M prediction; it still is possible, and note withoud the delayed production increase, Wii would easilly have hit the 20M. Also worth noticing would be, that in traditional way, how supply is diverted, Wii would have outsold 360 in NA, like John predicted, but Europe got supplied pretty good.
The 60M seems a little too high and i would go max. 50M. But, Wii will be launched in China, and Avinash gave good estimation of potential market size of China and India combined, so Chinese market (potential) equals the US market by size. Nintendo isn't going to China blindfolded, they have made plans for China, believe me.
So, Johns 60M prediction depends highly on chinese demand.
There's also one thing happening in world politics, western countries are demanding China to do something about piracy, it of course won't end it, but if China does something to it, it will have effect.
Wii has huge potential, and it may very well sell lifetime what John predicts.
@Lost tears of kain: Guess how many times John has been shot down. The reason why people are so interested in "Krazy Johns" predictions, is because his predictions seem to be pretty close, and that makes people to think he's even more crazy.
And who were talking about GTA being "HC" targeted game? It is similar series with Super Mario, it appeals to casuals as well as "HC" group, actually you can play them in similar ways. One of the reasons why it's considered so violent, is because of the "casual" way to play it, when you don't play missions, but instead you just steal cars and kill people. And as a "mature" IP, kids are very interested in it.
Ei Kiinasti.
Eikä Japanisti.
Vaan pannaan jalalla koreasti.
Nintendo games sell only on Nintendo system.