c0rd on 08 January 2010
Many of us were counting on Wii taking 2009, assuming that it'd sell like 2008. The Wii dropped hard in 2009 between Q2 and Q3, add to this the $100 PS3 cut / redesign, and any new gains the Wii has made from its price cut / NSMB Wii were nullified.
So, we're back an even larger gap than we were at in the beginning of 2008. Not only that, but the PS3 is guaranteed a strong start (going off Slim / $100 cut / GT5), while the 360 will see a strong finish (Halo Reach / Natal / price cut). To reach 50% this year, the Wii will need to see a year as strong as 2008, or the both the PS3 and 360 will need to see moderate declines.
It isn't happening this year, though I do think it's manageable before the end of the gen.
