I'm not convinced both versions of the game will release at the same time.
Regardless, tt should be much bigger for Xbox 360 with the downloadable content...and cheaper pricing...and bigger user base.
I don't think it can hit 20 million though. I think that PS3 and/or Xbox 360 will a price cut for GTA IV though, which could help...
Alot depends on other releases as well.
Is this going to release the same month as MGS4 and Little Big Planet? Same week?
I'd bet the PS3 version will outsell the 360 version in Others & Japan, but get destroyed by the 360 version in the Americas.
Its an early year release right now too, which doesn't bode well for the USA, although it could at a time when PS3 is at ~4 million in the USA (close to 5 million for North America). PS3 owners don't seem to rush out to buy games though so a 40%+ attach ration is probably ludacris...
I'd go something like 2.4 million-3.0 million first week sales for Xbox 360, 600k to 900k first week sales for PS3 in the Americas.
WW Lifetime totals: GTA IV (360) 10 million GTA IV (PS3) 3.5 million
I'm betting 20% of 360 owners end up with this game by the time it stops selling, while roughly <15% PS3 owners buy the game out of all who could buy it.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
