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After double-checking Gran Turismo and NSMB Wii sales I can confidently say, "No, by a lot".

Sony did a great job in 2009 but there are no games as big as Final Fantasy XIII coming out and certainly no games as big as NSMB Wii which is still selling hundreds of thousands a week over there.

Gran Turismo will create a hardware spike which will result in much rejoicing from Sony fans but will not be enough to put PS3 ahead in the long run.